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Writer's pictureAnthony Speciale

Risk Management Is Your Greatest Edge In The Market

Speciale Analysis

Hey Trader,


Finding Strength in Truth and Righteousness


In the dynamic world of trading, where uncertainty and rapid changes are the norm, it's easy to feel overwhelmed.


But remember, true strength comes from recognizing and embracing truth and righteousness.


As you navigate the complexities of the market, take inspiration from these powerful words: "When he comes, he will prove the world to be in the wrong about sin and righteousness and judgment." - John 16:8


Just as this verse reminds us of the ultimate clarity and justice that will prevail, let it inspire you to make decisions rooted in integrity and informed judgment.


Trust in the process and stay committed to your principles.


The markets may be unpredictable, but your foundation in truth and righteousness will guide you towards wise and profitable decisions.


Stay focused, stay strong, and let your faith in righteousness lead the way!


Be Relentless In Pursuit Of The Will 

Which God Has Set Upon Your Heart,

Anthony Speciale



Risk Management Is Your Greatest Edge In The Market


My goal is to provide you with a clear understanding of my market approach, analysis, expectations, and thought processes. If you’re looking to learn or trade alongside someone, it’s crucial to understand their methodology. This way, you can decide if it aligns with your own trading style, saving both of us time and effort.


Trading is a business of probability.


Successful traders don’t blindly buy or sell based on indicators or software signals. Instead, they develop a deep understanding of market dynamics—volume, price action, and order flow—creating a robust trade plan with a well-defined risk management system. This approach has been proven over time to yield profitable results.


Let's dive into my charts . . .


Chart Analysis

As you can see, my setup is quite simple, focusing on volume and price action. My primary chart is a 5-minute chart of light sweet crude oil, supplemented by a 3-minute and a 1-minute chart to analyze intra-candle movements from higher time frames.


I start with a weekly and daily chart, applying my analysis to a 4-hour chart in the top left corner. I also keep an eye on the dollar index, as it can influence crude oil and other indices inversely.



Not every market presents opportunities daily, so focusing on multiple markets is essential. This year, I’ve increased my trade exposure and risk, concentrating solely on crude oil, which has proven effective. For new traders, I recommend focusing on one or two markets to apply your edge and fine-tune your strategies.


On Friday, I encountered a scenario where my initial expectations didn't play out. I anticipated a price revisit to the double bottom, targeting resting liquidity below.


However, the market had different plans. Understanding why these scenarios unfold differently is crucial for adapting your strategy.


Here’s a breakdown of the session:


  1. Initial Setup: We identified a double bottom, with the initial low at 5:40 AM and the second low at 7:40 AM. The market retraced higher aggressively from this point, presenting a buying opportunity around 8:35 AM.

  2. Trade Execution: As the market tumbled, I anticipated a flush into the lows, but the market found support and reversed. I shorted at 78.92, expecting the VWAP to hold. Despite initial profit taking, I was stopped out at break-even.

  3. Managing Risk and Taking Profit: When the market presented opportunities to take profits, I did so, ensuring I protected my capital. This approach allowed me to remain profitable despite the market not fulfilling my expectations.

  4. Market Behavior and Adaptation: The market exhibited indecision and choppiness, making it crucial to adapt. Recognizing areas of potential resistance and support enabled me to make informed decisions.

  5. Final Thoughts: Trading is about managing risk and being prepared to take profits when the market offers them. It’s not always about being right but about making the best decisions with the information available.


To succeed in trading, you need to invest time—at least 10,000 hours of live market experience. This dedication is essential to becoming a consistently disciplined and profitable trader. If you’re serious about mastering the markets and willing to endure the ups and downs, trading can be a rewarding business.


If you’re interested in learning more about all of my trading strategies and insights, I invite you to join me along this journey to greatness: simply click here to learn more.


Thank you for watching, and if you enjoyed this content, please like, comment, and subscribe to my channel. Your feedback is valuable, and I’m here to help you on your trading journey. Have a wonderful weekend, and I’ll see you in the next video!


Happy Trading,

Speciale Analysis

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